Analysis of The Price Trend of Offset Paper in 2025: Growth Or Decline?

In 2025, the price direction of woodfree offset paper is highly concerned by the paper industry and related industries, and its price fluctuations are affected by the interweaving of cost, supply and demand, market competition and other factors.

From the production cost point of view, raw material price fluctuations is the key factor. 2025 February 7, China's coniferous pulp and broadleaf pulp prices showed different trends, coniferous pulp prices rose by 9.4% year-on-year, broadleaf pulp prices fell by 9.23% year-on-year, a slight increase in the ring than both. Conifer pulp fiber length, can enhance the strength of paper, indispensable in the production of woodfree offset paper; broadleaf pulp can improve the uniformity and smoothness of paper, the two price fluctuations directly affect the woodfree offset paper production costs. If the needle leaf pulp continues to rise, the cost pressure on paper enterprises to increase, in order to ensure profits, double bond paper price increase power; broadleaf pulp prices can be alleviated part of the cost, but the overall cost may still be due to the needle leaf pulp rose and rose. In addition to wood pulp, chemical raw materials such as sizing agents, fillers and other prices will also affect the cost. If the price of chemical raw materials, double-glued paper production costs will also increase accordingly.

Market supply and demand also has a significant impact on the price of double bond paper. Supply side, most of the paper mills have resumed normal production, but by the cost factors, the transfer of production occurs from time to time. Such as Chenming Paper is in a state of shutdown, but other paper mills production increased significantly compared to last week. At the same time, in 2025, double-gum paper facing 1.55 million tons of new production capacity pressure, new capacity to put may increase market supply. Demand level, the downstream printing plant basically resumed production, in the paper mills actively pulling up to promote, some enterprises have the right amount of replenishment behavior, but the overall trading improvement is limited, the end market consumption is general. At present, the end demand is the key to determine the price trend, if the demand continues to be low, even if the paper mills to raise prices, upward space will be limited; if the demand picks up, the price is expected to rise due to the improvement of supply and demand.

Industry competition pattern is also around the price of woodfree offset paper. Scale paper mills are influential in the market, and their pricing strategy will trigger a chain reaction in the market.2025 On February 10, APP, Huajin Group and Sun Paper issued a price increase letter, which is expected to boost the price of cultural paper, which may drive the price of woodfree offset paper up. However, the market is highly competitive and other paper mills may respond with different strategies, such as maintaining the original price or reducing the price slightly to compete for market share, which in turn will inhibit the extent of price increase. Smaller paper mills may compete at low prices to survive, bringing downward pressure on market prices.

From the recent market performance, February 14, 2025 data show that the Chenming Paper Yunbao 70g double glued paper ex-factory price with tax for 5600 yuan / ton, Sun Paper Tianyang 70g for 5500 yuan / ton, Zhongye Paper Ruixue 70g for 5500 yuan / ton, Puyang Longfeng paper cubic 70g for 5520 yuan / ton. This week's woodfree offset paper market is stable in the probe up, a number of large-scale paper mills plan to March 1, cultural paper price increases, up more than 200 yuan / ton. But the terminal market on the price increase is a wait-and-see attitude, the market still needs to pay attention to changes in end demand.

From a comprehensive point of view, the price trend of woodfree offset paper in 2025 is complicated. Cost increases and the willingness of paper mills to raise prices to promote the trend of rising prices, but the market competition is fierce, and end demand is weak to limit the price of space. If the subsequent end demand can effectively rebound, double-glued paper prices are expected to rise moderately; if demand continues to be low, the price increase is limited, and may even be due to market competition and overcapacity facing downward pressure. Relevant enterprises and investors need to pay close attention to raw material prices, market supply and demand and industry policy changes, in order to adjust the strategy to deal with price fluctuations in a timely manner.

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